National Grid Issues Long-Term Natural Gas Capacity Report

National Grid issued a Long-term Natural Gas Capacity report earlier this week, which fulfills one of the provisions that the company made with New York State as part of its November 2019 agreement.

The report is meant to be a comprehensive, impartial analysis of the natural gas capacity constraints in downstate New York along with reasonably available options for addressing those constraints.  It also includes a forecast for natural gas demand through 2035, accounting for anticipated energy efficiency, demand response, heat electrification, and renewable gas use.  There is also a description for options available for expanding natural gas capacity and further reducing demand to close the gap between customers’ natural gas demand and available capacity in downstate New York.

Some of the findings in the report include the fact that demand for natural gas in downstate New York is predicted to rise but at a slower rate than initially thought, that the current natural gas supply is stretched to meet today’s demand and is not sufficient to meet forecasts, that low-carbon opportunities should be explored to close the gap, and that National Grid is looking into such opportunities.

These findings are not surprising as National Grid has talked about rising demand, which has been steady over the last ten years.  There have been a number of efforts to increase capacity through infrastructure and help with efficiency, but they have not been able to keep pace with growth, according to the company.

National Grid will be holding a number of public information meetings in the coming month, the final one of which will be on March 31st.  They will take feedback from local customers and stakeholders on what can be done to improve the situation.  There is also an online survey, which will be available through April 2nd.  A supplemental report will follow that will encompass all of these, and National Grid will then work with NYS to come up with long-term solutions to this issue by June of this year.

The following is the most current information session schedule:

You can read more on this issue here, and read the full report here.